Computational Lab / Experiment

Extreme-value modeling

A framework for reasoning about tail events beyond the center of a distribution.

Interactive model

This experiment's interactive controls are in a later implementation phase. Its mathematical assumptions are documented here so no unsupported output is shown.

Model & assumptions

Peak-over-threshold methods rely on suitable thresholds and asymptotic approximations. Results require diagnostics and uncertainty analysis.

All displayed data are synthetic. They are never presented as observed market measurements.